Research & Education
Downtrend in Focus with Critical Data Ahead
This week brings a series of high-impact economic releases that could shape market sentiment and influence currency movements—particularly the US dollar. From U.S. manufacturing and labor market data to Switzerland's inflation figures, traders will be watching closely for clues about future monetary policy decisions. These events come at a critical time for the USDCHF pair, which has been trending lower since mid-May.
Crypto Caution as Bulls Fade and Key Support Tested
Bitcoin has pulled back sharply from its all-time high of $111,867.95, briefly dipping below $99,000 over the weekend. The decline triggered over $1 billion in liquidations, mostly from leveraged long positions, as market sentiment turned risk-averse.
Technically, Bitcoin remains under pressure, trading below its 20- and 50-period EMAs. Momentum indicators continue to signal weakness, with the RSI below 50 and the Momentum Oscillator under 100. A close below $100,226.49 could confirm a bearish Head and Shoulders pattern, potentially opening the door to further downside.
NZDUSD in Focus as Momentum Shifts
As the trading week progresses, attention turns to a series of key economic releases that may influence market sentiment and price action. With data due from Australia, Switzerland, and the UK, volatility could pick up across major currency pairs. In the spotlight, NZDUSD shows signs of technical weakness following a recent rally, while broader fundamentals continue to shape expectations around monetary policy paths.
Traders on Alert as Central Banks Face a Defining Week
Markets are bracing for a pivotal week packed with high-impact economic events that could shape monetary policy expectations across several major economies. From U.S. retail sales and the Federal Reserve's rate decision to key inflation data out of the UK and employment figures from Australia and New Zealand, investors will be watching closely for clues on growth, inflation, and central bank direction. In Europe, Christine Lagarde is calling for decisive action to elevate the euro's global standing, while in the UK, mounting economic weakness is pressuring the Bank of England to consider further rate cuts. Against this backdrop, EUR/GBP remains technically bullish, though negative divergence signals potential near-term hesitation.
Central Banks, Data, and Geopolitical Tensions Set the Stage for Crude Oil
This week's economic calendar is packed with high-impact data releases and central bank decisions that could influence market sentiment across currencies and commodities. Key events include interest rate decisions from the Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Swiss National Bank, and Bank of Japan, as well as inflation figures from the UK and retail sales data from the US. Against this backdrop, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have added a fresh layer of volatility to crude oil markets, prompting a technical and fundamental reassessment of price dynamics heading into the second half of June.
GBPUSD Outlook Driven by Key Data and Bullish Momentum
This week's economic calendar features several high-impact releases that could influence market sentiment and trading direction, particularly in the GBPUSD pair. Key data points include the UK's monthly GDP report and multiple US indicators such as Producer Price Index (PPI), Unemployment Claims, and preliminary readings for Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations from the University of Michigan. These figures will offer fresh insight into the relative health of both economies and may provide catalysts for volatility in currency markets.
With GBPUSD maintaining an overall bullish structure, traders will be watching closely for confirmation or disruption of this trend based on upcoming economic data.
EURJPY Climbs Amid Growth Surprises
As markets navigate a landscape shaped by diverging global growth trends and ongoing trade tensions, attention this week turns to a series of key economic releases. US inflation data, producer prices, and jobless claims will be closely monitored for clues on the Federal Reserve's policy path, while the UK's monthly GDP report could offer fresh insight into the health of the British economy. Against this backdrop, EURJPY continues its upward momentum, supported by bullish technical signals and a stronger-than-expected eurozone growth revision, even as Japan's confirmed contraction adds to broader market caution.
EURUSD Bullish Momentum Builds Ahead of ECB and NFP Showdown
Markets are bracing for a pivotal week, with attention centered on Thursday's European Central Bank (ECB) rate decision and Friday's US Nonfarm Payrolls report—both key events that could influence EURUSD direction in the near term. Expectations for an ECB rate cut have intensified after euro zone inflation fell below the 2% target in May, while US labor market data will be closely scrutinized for signs of resilience amid escalating trade tensions. Despite a packed economic calendar, price action in EURUSD remains bullish, with technical indicators pointing toward continued upward momentum.
Gold Holds Ground as Bulls Eye Breakout Amid Safe-Haven Surge
Gold continues to attract strong interest as bullish momentum builds, supported by both technical and fundamental factors. The metal has recovered sharply from its April lows, carving out a clear uptrend that suggests growing investor confidence. Price structure, momentum indicators, and key moving averages all align with a constructive outlook, while broader market sentiment remains tilted toward safe-haven assets. With gold holding above key support zones, traders are closely monitoring the price action for confirmation of the next directional move.
USDJPY Struggles to Reverse as Bears Hold the Line
USDJPY remains under pressure, continuing a broader downtrend that began in early January. While the pair recently bounced from April's lows, technical signals still point to persistent bearish momentum. Traders are closely watching upcoming economic releases that could shape short-term sentiment, but the prevailing market structure suggests downside risks remain in play.