Research & Education
Crude Oil Climbs Off 2025 Lows as Traders Eye Data, Tariffs, and Trend Reversal Signals
This week, markets brace for a series of high-impact economic releases—including CPI data from Australia and the UK, U.S. GDP and unemployment claims, as well as retail sales and GDP figures from the UK and Canada. Against this backdrop, Crude Oil has rebounded from a 2025 low of $65.320 per barrel, with technical indicators suggesting near-term bullish momentum. Supply concerns, notably U.S. tariff threats on Venezuelan oil and a larger-than-expected 4.6 million barrel draw in U.S. inventories continue to influence the market dynamics.
Bitcoin Pauses Below Resistance as Bulls Eye Breakout
Bitcoin continues to command attention as price action consolidates below key resistance following a sharp retracement from all-time highs. Despite recent volatility, underlying sentiment remains constructive, supported by improving technicals and a longer-term bullish outlook. Market participants are closely watching for confirmation of direction, as both momentum indicators and broader structural trends suggest the potential for renewed upside in the sessions ahead.
Gold Extends Rally Amid Market Uncertainty and Economic Shifts
This week, key economic events and central bank decisions are shaping market sentiment, with major data releases from Australia, Switzerland, the UK, the US, and Canada. Investors are closely monitoring these developments for potential shifts in monetary policy and economic outlooks.
Meanwhile, Gold continues its strong rally, reaching new highs above $3,057 per ounce amid ongoing market uncertainty and risk aversion. Technical indicators confirm the bullish trend, though signs of divergence suggest a potential slowdown or correction. As traders navigate these volatile conditions, attention remains on key resistance and support levels, as well as broader macroeconomic factors influencing market direction.
GBPJPY Surge and Policy Moves Shape Market Outlook
This week's central bank decisions from Japan, the US, and the UK will drive market sentiment, with traders watching for policy signals. GBPJPY remains in a strong uptrend, supported by bullish technical indicators. Meanwhile, Japan's steady rates and rising wages hint at future tightening, while the pound surged past ¥194 on expectations of prolonged high rates. Economic data releases will be key in shaping market direction.
Silver Surges Toward $33.387 Breakout
This week’s economic calendar features several high-impact U.S. releases—including PPI and unemployment claims on Thursday—plus Friday's UK GDP report, all of which could influence near-term price action. Technically, silver’s strong upward trajectory since December 19, marked by a failure swing reversal and a “Golden Cross,” underlines persistent bullish sentiment. Momentum indicators like the RSI and the oscillator above 100 further confirm buying pressure. A breakout above the 33.387 resistance could trigger a notable rally, although traders should also watch the identified downside support levels if selling pressure emerges. Fundamentals remain supportive, with softer U.S. inflation data bolstering industrial demand and compressing the Gold/Silver Ratio to its lowest point since the New Year.
Rate Cuts Amid Trade Tensions
As the global economic landscape continues to evolve, several key events and data releases this week are poised to impact the markets. The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) will offer insights into inflation trends, while the Bank of Canada's interest rate decision will be closely watched amid ongoing trade tensions. Additionally, US unemployment claims and the UK's GDP figures will provide further indications of economic health.
In the technical analysis section, we'll delve into the recent performance of USDCAD, which has been on an upward trend since mid-February. We'll also outline potential upside and downside targets for traders, along with a discussion on the fundamentals driving market sentiment.
High Impact Data Could Shape GBPUSD This Week
This week, markets are set to react to a series of high-impact economic data releases, particularly from the U.S., Canada, and the UK. Key events include the U.S. JOLTS job openings, CPI, and PPI data, along with unemployment claims, all of which could influence Federal Reserve policy expectations. Additionally, the Bank of Canada's interest rate decision and the UK's GDP report will provide insights into economic growth trajectories and monetary policy directions.
From a technical perspective, GBPUSD has maintained an upward trajectory, advancing over 6.9% from its January low. However, signs of potential exhaustion in bullish momentum raise the possibility of consolidation or a pullback. Market participants will closely monitor upcoming data for confirmation of trends and possible shifts in sentiment.
Nasdaq 100 Stumbles as Markets Reprice Growth Expectations
The Nasdaq 100 faces a critical juncture as investors brace for high-impact economic data from both Canada and the United States. Scheduled for release at 15:30 (GMT+2), Canada's Employment Change and the US Non-Farm Employment Change reports are likely to inject further volatility into already fragile market conditions.
With the Nasdaq 100 in the midst of a sharp technical reversal and broader market sentiment deteriorating under the weight of trade tensions, inflation concerns, and rising recession risks, traders will closely monitor these key releases for signs of further economic weakness or resilience.
EURUSD Eyes Gains as ECB Prepares to Cut and Europe Boosts Spending
This week’s important events include the ECB interest rate decision on Thursday, along with US unemployment claims and key labor data from both the US and Canada on Friday.
EURUSD has recovered strongly from its January low, supported by a combination of bullish technical signals. These suggest the pair could continue higher, though traders will be watching key support and resistance levels closely.
On the fundamentals side, the ECB is expected to cut rates again as inflation slows and economic growth weakens. At the same time, Germany’s plans for higher defense spending reflect a broader shift toward investment in Europe, boosting confidence in the region’s economic outlook.
Trade Tensions and Key Data Put USDCAD in the Spotlight
This week's market outlook unfolds amid heightened volatility, driven by escalating trade tensions following President Trump's confirmation of sweeping tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports. Meanwhile, key economic releases — including the US Non-Farm Payrolls report, ISM Services PMI, and Canada's Employment Change — will provide crucial insight into labor market conditions and overall economic health. With USDCAD at a technical crossroads, traders will be watching both fundamental developments and key price levels to gauge the pair's next directional move.