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Crude Oil Declines Amid Global Economic Concerns

The most recent report from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) on July 17, 2024, indicated that Crude Oil inventories in the US decreased by 4.9 million barrels for the week ending July 12, 2024, which was lower than the -0.9 million barrels predicted by economists. 
Despite causing a temporary surge in Crude Oil prices on the day of the report, the commodity has experienced a 5.3% decline compared to the week of June 30.  The decline can also be attributed to the global economic slowdown and mixed economic indicators.

Gold Stages a Rally

Gold has been in a corrective phase since July 17, when it reached an all-time high of $2483.70 per troy ounce due to a slowdown in China's economy and sluggish demand from Asia. Traders are anticipated to carefully monitor the market, as significant geopolitical and economic events could change the direction of the precious metal.

GBPJPY Bouncing Back Despite Negative Retail Data

The GBPJPY is bouncing back from the lower Bollinger Band despite the recent release of UK Retail Sales, which revealed a weakening of consumer spending. The report showed a decline from the previous month and fell short of analysts' projections, which had anticipated a milder decrease. Traders are expected to closely monitor the currency pair in light of the forthcoming release of significant economic data that could impact currency valuations.
 

GBPUSD Remains Uptrend But In Overbought Conditions

The Pound Sterling remains on a bullish trajectory amid geopolitical developments and political turmoil in the US, while the Relative Strength Index shows signs of exhaustion, hovering above overbought territory. Traders are expected to closely monitor the currency pair in light of the forthcoming release of significant economic data that could potentially impact currency valuations.

USDJPY Recovering After Yesterday's Plunge

The major JPY currency pairs dropped after the Consumer Price Index data, a key indicator of inflation, showed a slowdown in consumer prices. This brought the Fed closer to its 2% target and led to discussions of a rate cut in September. The USDJPY is currently recovering after yesterday's daily range of 433 pips. Traders are expected to keep a close eye on the currency pair due to the upcoming release of significant economic data, including the Producer Price Index, which could impact currency valuations.

RBNZ Sparks Discussions For A Possible Rate Cut

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's less Hawkish statement prompted speculation of a potential interest rate cut later in the year, contingent upon inflationary pressures easing. In response to the Committee's statement, the NZD/USD exchange rate dipped below the moving average line, signaling bearish pressure. Traders are expected to monitor the currency pair in light of the upcoming release of significant economic data that could potentially impact currency valuations.

EURUSD Advances Amid Softer US Data

The EURUSD advanced amid softer-than-expected US ISM Services PMI coupled with a possible slowdown in the US labor market, as indicated by the latest ADP report showing that private payroll growth edged lower in June. Traders are expected to closely monitor the currency market in light of the forthcoming release of significant economic data, including the week's main event, the Nonfarm Payrolls, that could potentially impact currency valuations.

Gold In Consolidation Before An Upside Breakout

Gold is taking a breather after hitting the all-time high of $2450.06 per troy ounce on May 20. Despite a subsequent correction, Gold remains on an upward trajectory, as various technical indicators indicate. A potential breakout above the downtrend line will open the way for Gold prices to retest the highest price ever reached. Traders are expected to closely monitor the market in light of the forthcoming release of significant economic data that could impact the commodity's price.

EURUSD Rebounds In Response To French Elections

During the Asian session, the EURUSD rebounded from the 161.8 percent Fibonacci Extension in response to Sunday's first round of the French snap parliamentary elections.  Later today, the preliminary Consumer Price Index, comprised of 6 German states that report their CPI throughout the day, is expected to be released.  The preliminary release is the Eurozone's earliest major consumer inflation.  Also, the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index is due to be released with a potential reading above 50.0, indicating industry expansion.

USDJPY Rally Alerts Bank of Japan

All eyes are on USDJPY, as the currency pair exceeded the psychological resistance level of 160.00, sparking more rumors of a Bank of Japan intervention.  Analysts speculate that an intervention is only possible after the release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures later today, which is the Federal Reserve's primary inflation measure.